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Pro Football Wins·closes in 2mo

Will the Miami pro football team win at least 5 games this season?

YES means 5+ wins

Read it the other way: a 75% chance Miami finishes 4–13 or worse. Three-plus wins is only 59¢. The rebuild is priced in.
Our read · Sep 20, 2026 · 3 PM ET
24h volume
27
120.3k lifetime
Open interest
59.6k
+3,047 over 30d
Spread
1¢
13 × 137 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 25¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%−1

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 75¢

YES bid / ask
25¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 75¢
24h low 25¢24h high 25¢
Recent buying29% YES · 71% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢volOct 6Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10045¢
  • ask3044¢
  • ask5042¢
  • ask16041¢
  • ask2540¢
  • ask2136¢
  • ask60030¢
  • ask13726¢
spread1¢mid 26¢
  • bid1325¢
  • bid84924¢
  • bid1023¢
  • bid118¢
  • bid58817¢
  • bid111¢
  • bid258¢
  • bid637¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the Miami Pro Football team wins at least 5 games in the 2026-27 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 20 · 10:54 PM UTC
closes
Jan 18, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 18, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
floor
5
ticker
KXNFLWINS-27MIA-5
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 29% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago25¢1bought no
15h ago25¢16bought no
15h ago25¢10bought no
1d ago26¢10bought no
1d ago26¢1.32bought no
1d ago26¢1.32bought no
1d ago25¢5bought no
2d ago24¢0.01bought no
2d ago24¢0.01bought no
2d ago24¢0.01bought no
2d ago25¢0.01bought no
2d ago25¢0.01bought no
2d ago23¢0.01bought no
2d ago24¢0.01bought no
2d ago26¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.