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Stanley Cup·closes in 32mo

Will Tampa Bay Lightning win the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals?

YES means Tampa Bay Lightning

24h volume
1,240
128.3k lifetime
Open interest
116.4k
+112.0k over 90d
Spread
1¢
22.1k × 38.1k at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 95¢

YES bid / ask
5¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 95¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volAug 7Nov 4

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18416¢
  • ask2.8815¢
  • ask3,64211¢
  • ask10510¢
  • ask6,4689¢
  • ask37.7k8¢
  • ask8,4157¢
  • ask38.1k6¢
spread1¢mid 6¢
  • bid22.1k5¢
  • bid10.9k4¢
  • bid5063¢
  • bid36.2k2¢
  • bid532.2k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tampa Bay Lightning wins the 2026-27 Stanley Cup® Finals, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 15 · 3:40 AM UTC
closes
Jun 30, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jul 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXNHL-27-TB
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
55m ago6¢250bought yes
18h ago6¢521bought yes
20h ago6¢31bought yes
20h ago6¢47bought yes
22h ago6¢391bought yes
1d ago6¢522bought no
1d ago6¢59bought no
1d ago6¢59bought no
1d ago6¢120bought no
1d ago6¢91bought no
1d ago6¢1bought no
2d ago6¢59bought no
2d ago7¢1,006bought yes
2d ago7¢12bought yes
3d ago7¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.