Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2034 be above 0.5%?
YES means Above 0.5%
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2.16 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1.16
- +1.16 over 90d
- Spread
- 10¢
- 500 × 500 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 11 recent trades
A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 14¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask50096¢
- bid50086¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2034 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Underlying is the 2034 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2034,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.
- opened
- Aug 6 · 10:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 28, 2035 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Feb 4, 2035 · 3:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 0.5
- ticker
- KXNOMGDPGROWTH-35JAN28-T0.5
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 11 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20d ago | 96¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 78¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 78¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 78¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 78¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 77¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 72¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 70¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 71¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 71¢ | 0.02 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 71¢ | 0.01 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.