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Number of FY2027 continuing resolutions·closes in 13mo

Will the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law be at least 4 before October 1, 2027?

YES means At least 4

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 24h
Spread
8¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 83¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask40677¢
  • ask25076¢
  • ask20025¢
spread8¢mid 21¢
  • bid517¢
  • bid20016¢
  • bid823¢
  • bid3652¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the number of continuing resolutions for fiscal year 2027 that become law is at least 4 before October 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A continuing resolution is a law providing continuing appropriations for any part of the 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations areas. Each law counts once, however many areas it covers and however long it runs. Counts toward the total: A government-wide continuing resolution One covering only some areas, or only specific programs and activities A full-year continuing resolution One enacted after a lapse in appropriations has begun One enacted as a division of a broader law Does NOT count: A regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations act A supplemental appropriations act Continuing appropriations that do not cover fiscal year 2027 The count ends once all 12 regular fiscal year 2027 appropriations acts are law. A temporary government-wide extension does not end it. If all 12 never become law, the count is final on October 1, 2027. For fiscal year 2025 the applicable number is 3, the last of which funded the remainder of that year.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 20 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Oct 1, 2027 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
4
ticker
KXNUMCR-27OCT01-AL4
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.