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How many affordable homes will NYC finance in FY2027?·closes in 12mo

Will HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report be above 35000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027?

YES means Above 35,000

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
+0 over 24h
Spread
6¢
5 × 0.27 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 53¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 53¢
NO bid / ask
47¢ / 53¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask50490¢
  • ask25489¢
  • ask20055¢
  • ask0.2753¢
spread6¢mid 50¢
  • bid547¢
  • bid20046¢
  • bid5324¢
  • bid26423¢
  • bid20012¢
  • bid1,61011¢
  • bid1,02510¢
  • bid1,3114¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the annual Mayor’s Management Report is above 35,000 for New York City fiscal year 2027, from July 1, 2026 through June 30, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution will use the FY2027 value of HPD’s “Total affordable housing starts (units)” indicator in the first public version of the Fiscal 2027 Mayor’s Management Report; the Preliminary Mayor’s Management Report, separate housing announcements, combined totals including NYCHA PACT units, and subsequent revisions or corrections will not be considered.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 28 · 10:30 PM UTC
closes
Sep 17, 2027 · 1:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 16, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC
floor
35000
ticker
KXNYCAFFORDABLE-27JUN30-A35000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.