NYC grocery story·closes in 16mo

When will New York City owned and operated grocery store open to the public?

YES means Before Jan 2028

24h volume
0
36.2k lifetime
Open interest
7,196
+191 over 90d
Spread
59 × 616 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
80%

A YES contract costs 80¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
20%

costs 23¢

YES bid / ask
77¢ / 80¢
NO bid / ask
20¢ / 23¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

70¢80¢90¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1590¢
  • ask50089¢
  • ask36088¢
  • ask10887¢
  • ask2585¢
  • ask20584¢
  • ask10083¢
  • ask61680¢
spreadmid 79¢
  • bid5977¢
  • bid20076¢
  • bid663¢
  • bid3550¢
  • bid2149¢
  • bid1045¢
  • bid2937¢
  • bid32634¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Mamdani open a city-owned grocery store before 2028?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago80¢1.23bought yes
1d ago77¢4.12bought no
1d ago80¢1.23bought yes
2d ago77¢21bought no
2d ago80¢1.23bought yes
2d ago80¢3.69bought yes
3d ago77¢330bought no
3d ago80¢6.16bought yes
6d ago80¢1.23bought yes
6d ago80¢2.46bought yes
6d ago77¢6.16bought no
6d ago80¢6.16bought yes
7d ago77¢39bought no
7d ago78¢6.56bought no
7d ago81¢27bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.