NYC statistics·closes in 4mo

Will the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals be above 170000000 for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026?

YES means Above 170 million

24h volume
0
13 lifetime
Open interest
13
+12 over 30d
Spread
76¢
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
79%

A YES contract costs 79¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
21%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
/ 79¢
NO bid / ask
21¢ / 97¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask25099¢
  • ask72498¢
  • ask4795¢
  • ask3193¢
  • ask20079¢
spread76¢mid 41¢
  • bid5
  • bid35
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the sum of the MTA’s “CRZ Entries” measure across all detection groups, vehicle classes, and 10-minute intervals is above 170 million for Toll Dates from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

opened
Aug 7 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 8, 2027 · 2:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 8, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
170000000
ticker
KXNYCSTAT-CONG26-A170000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
16d ago79¢12bought yes
1mo ago78¢1.23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.