NYC statistics·closes in 28mo

Will the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public be at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029?

YES means At least 3

24h volume
0
0 lifetime
Open interest
0
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
Chance of YES
0%

A YES contract costs 78¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
100%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 78¢
NO bid / ask
22¢ / 30¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask50195¢
  • ask20078¢
spreadmid 74¢
  • bid570¢
  • bid20069¢
  • bid20027¢
  • bid41826¢
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the cumulative number of N.Y.C. Groceries stores that have opened for regular retail sales to the general public is at least 3 before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

A store counts once it begins regular in-person grocery sales to the general public; announcements, site selection, construction completion, ribbon-cuttings, or limited preview/test openings do not count. Stores opened under a renamed or materially equivalent successor to N.Y.C. Groceries also count, including where day-to-day operations are performed by a third party.

opened
Aug 7 · 5:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2029 · 2:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 1, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
3
ticker
KXNYCSTAT-GROC29-AL3
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.