Will Mark Mitchell become Prime Minister of New Zealand following the 2026 New Zealand general election?
YES means Mark Mitchell
- 24h volume
- 0
- 871 lifetime
- Open interest
- 871
- Spread
- 1¢
- 0 × 382 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Mark Mitchell becomes Prime Minister of New Zealand as a result of government formation following the 2026 New Zealand general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Nov 7, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Nov 7, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
- opened
- Sep 10 · 2:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Nov 7, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Nov 7, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXNZPM-26NOV07-MMIT
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 155¢).
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.