Will OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
YES means OpenAI
- 24h volume
- 2,526
- 195.0k lifetime
- Open interest
- 50.3k
- Spread
- 5¢
- 124 × 500 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 13¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 92¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If OpenAI confirms an IPO first, before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Aug 6, 2025 · 11:30 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2040 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2040 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXOAIANTH-40-OAI
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 8¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 3h ago | 12¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 3h ago | 13¢ | 35 | bought no |
| 3h ago | 13¢ | 2.98 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 18¢ | 38 | bought yes |
| 4h ago | 19¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 6h ago | 8¢ | 28 | bought no |
| 6h ago | 9¢ | 38 | bought no |
| 6h ago | 8¢ | 1 | bought no |
| 6h ago | 6¢ | 3.89 | bought no |
| 8h ago | 8¢ | 2 | bought no |
| 8h ago | 40¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 40¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 40¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 8h ago | 40¢ | 2 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.