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OpenAI lead left IPO·closes in 16mo

Will Bank of America serve as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's IPO?

YES means Bank of America

24h volume
0
1,511 lifetime
Open interest
1,274
Spread
1¢
0 × 2 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying21% YES · 79% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask6697¢
  • ask5796¢
  • ask2423¢
  • ask81621¢
  • ask5004¢
  • ask1153¢
  • ask242¢
  • ask21¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Bank of America serves as lead-left underwriter on OpenAI's initial public offering in the United States before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If two or more underwriters are presented on the cover of the final prospectus as jointly occupying the lead-left position, such that no single underwriter is uppermost-and-leftmost (for example, two names sharing equal top billing), then each such underwriter's outcome resolves to $1/(the number of tied underwriters), rounded down, for “Yes”, and “No” will be paid $1 minus the Yes value.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jun 3 · 9:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXOPENAILEADLEFT-28JAN01B-BOAX
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 107¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 8 trades, 21% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2mo ago1¢48bought no
    2mo ago2¢542bought no
    2mo ago3¢15bought yes
    2mo ago3¢8.22bought yes
    2mo ago3¢25bought yes
    2mo ago3¢0.01bought yes
    2mo ago3¢7.83bought yes
    2mo ago3¢100bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.