Oscar for Best Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Andrew Scott

24h volume
1,496
60.2k lifetime
Open interest
44.6k
+7,408 over 7d
Spread
28 × 2,166 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 16¢
Chance of YES
15%

A YES contract costs 16¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 16¢
NO bid / ask
84¢ / 85¢
24h low 12¢24h high 16¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

10¢15¢20¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask51028¢
  • ask15026¢
  • ask25021¢
  • ask1520¢
  • ask1,23419¢
  • ask5618¢
  • ask30017¢
  • ask2,16616¢
spreadmid 16¢
  • bid2815¢
  • bid2,84714¢
  • bid10313¢
  • bid85712¢
  • bid50211¢
  • bid45310¢
  • bid3
  • bid5.41
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Andrew Scott has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99 Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Mar 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTO-27-AND
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 124¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.