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KXOSCARACTR·closes in 16mo

Will Mikey Madison win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Mikey Madison

24h volume
1,170
7,129 lifetime
Open interest
7,105
Spread
1¢
6.95 × 4,133 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 2¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%+1

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 99¢
24h low 2¢24h high 2¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Mikey Madison has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Jul 10 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARACTR-27-MIK
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago2¢39bought yes
8h ago2¢186bought yes
8h ago2¢400bought yes
8h ago2¢6bought yes
8h ago2¢238bought yes
8h ago2¢300bought yes
1d ago1¢30bought no
1d ago1¢93bought no
3d ago1¢4bought no
10d ago2¢1.02bought yes
11d ago2¢6.07bought yes
13d ago2¢1.99bought yes
13d ago2¢2.19bought yes
14d ago2¢2.93bought yes
15d ago2¢48bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.