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Oscar for Best Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Shailene Woodley win Best Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Shailene Woodley

24h volume
0
146 lifetime
Open interest
144
Spread
1¢
0 × 17.3k at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask26298¢
  • ask12297¢
  • ask37066¢
  • ask4,17462¢
  • ask17.3k1¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Shailene Woodley has won Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    May 28 · 4:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXOSCARACTR-27-SHA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    This event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    This is the only market in its event.

    Recent trades

    Over the last 20 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    7d ago1¢14bought yes
    7d ago1¢9bought yes
    12d ago1¢1.12bought yes
    12d ago1¢1.02bought yes
    13d ago1¢1.02bought yes
    13d ago1¢1.02bought yes
    13d ago1¢2.22bought yes
    17d ago1¢14bought yes
    21d ago1¢0.16bought yes
    21d ago1¢28bought yes
    21d ago1¢0.2bought yes
    21d ago1¢0.2bought yes
    21d ago1¢1.35bought yes
    23d ago1¢2.86bought yes
    1mo ago1¢40bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.