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Oscar for Best Animated Feature·closes in 16mo

Will Toy Story 5 win Best Animated Feature Film at the Oscars?

YES means Toy Story 5

24h volume
98
5,055 lifetime
Open interest
3,219
+3,199 over 90d
Spread
3¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
25¢ – 26¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
25%−4

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
75%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 78¢
24h low 25¢24h high 26¢
Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 6Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,99656¢
  • ask4,07055¢
  • ask454¢
  • ask80053¢
  • ask5452¢
  • ask15038¢
  • ask6335¢
  • ask20025¢
spread3¢mid 24¢
  • bid20022¢
  • bid18721¢
  • bid15018¢
  • bid5313¢
  • bid80012¢
  • bid1111¢
  • bid55010¢
  • bid2757¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Toy Story 5 has won Best Animated Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARANIMATED-27-TOY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 102¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4h ago25¢38bought yes
6h ago25¢18bought yes
6h ago26¢37bought yes
11h ago26¢5bought yes
1d ago29¢1bought yes
2d ago27¢1bought yes
2d ago35¢187bought yes
2d ago28¢105bought yes
2d ago28¢1bought yes
4d ago29¢6.57bought yes
5d ago12¢7bought no
6d ago29¢15bought yes
6d ago29¢6.57bought yes
6d ago28¢0.09bought no
6d ago26¢4.25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.