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Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay·closes in 16mo

Will The Odyssey win Best Adapted Screenplay at the Oscars?

YES means The Odyssey

24h volume
0
4,535 lifetime
Open interest
3,172
+0 over 24h
Spread
5¢
20 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
28%

A YES contract costs 26¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
72%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 26¢
NO bid / ask
74¢ / 79¢
Recent buying83% YES · 17% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
15¢20¢25¢30¢35¢volSep 20, 2:55 PMSep 21, 6:05 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Odyssey has won Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARASPLAY-27-ODY
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 83% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago28¢3.4bought yes
4d ago28¢3.4bought yes
5d ago26¢7.31bought no
5d ago28¢10bought yes
5d ago27¢35bought yes
6d ago27¢50bought yes
6d ago27¢35bought yes
6d ago26¢7.31bought yes
6d ago26¢37bought yes
6d ago26¢7.31bought yes
6d ago24¢3.65bought no
6d ago26¢3.65bought yes
6d ago27¢3.52bought yes
6d ago28¢68bought yes
7d ago27¢7.04bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.