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Oscar for Best Cinematography·closes in 16mo

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Cinematography at the Oscars?

YES means Dune: Part Three

24h volume
0
2,546 lifetime
Open interest
1,589
Spread
7¢
1.41 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
41 recent trades
Chance of YES
30%

A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
70%

costs 78¢

YES bid / ask
22¢ / 29¢
NO bid / ask
71¢ / 78¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask56658¢
  • ask6056¢
  • ask4655¢
  • ask7.5554¢
  • ask5032¢
  • ask1.0631¢
  • ask20030¢
  • ask529¢
spread7¢mid 26¢
  • bid1.4122¢
  • bid20021¢
  • bid1.7318¢
  • bid5617¢
  • bid2.3513¢
  • bid5612¢
  • bid2.5311¢
  • bid3210¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dune: Part Three has won Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARCINE-27-DUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 41 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago30¢6.35bought yes
4d ago27¢18bought yes
5d ago27¢88bought yes
5d ago27¢3.52bought yes
11d ago31¢1bought yes
11d ago31¢91bought yes
12d ago28¢20bought yes
16d ago30¢64bought yes
21d ago25¢130bought no
23d ago28¢2bought yes
23d ago29¢62bought yes
24d ago21¢5bought no
1mo ago22¢200bought no
1mo ago23¢5bought no
1mo ago27¢200bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.