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Oscar for Best Cinematography·closes in 16mo

Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the Oscars?

YES means The Odyssey

24h volume
0
3,270 lifetime
Open interest
1,876
+646 over 30d
Spread
2¢
26 × 200 at the touch
24h range
54¢ – 73¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%

A YES contract costs 61¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 41¢

YES bid / ask
59¢ / 61¢
NO bid / ask
39¢ / 41¢
24h low 54¢24h high 73¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volAug 26Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3493¢
  • ask81892¢
  • ask1589¢
  • ask17088¢
  • ask11987¢
  • ask20061¢
spread2¢mid 60¢
  • bid2659¢
  • bid11258¢
  • bid5757¢
  • bid20054¢
  • bid20052¢
  • bid20249¢
  • bid20244¢
  • bid20239¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Odyssey has won Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARCINE-27-ODY
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 99¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago59¢195bought no
4d ago62¢1.57bought yes
4d ago59¢15bought no
4d ago60¢162bought yes
4d ago57¢7bought no
5d ago60¢31bought no
5d ago60¢12bought no
6d ago63¢31bought yes
6d ago60¢16bought no
6d ago60¢15bought no
6d ago60¢5bought no
6d ago61¢160bought yes
6d ago54¢1.59bought no
6d ago61¢1.59bought yes
10d ago59¢33bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.