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Oscar for Best Director·closes in 16mo

Will Christopher Nolan win Best Director at the Oscars?

YES means Christopher Nolan

24h volume
211
71.8k lifetime
Open interest
50.0k
+37.9k over 90d
Spread
6¢
16 × 1.01 at the touch
24h range
27¢ – 88¢
Chance of YES
66%−1

A YES contract costs 66¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
34%

costs 40¢

YES bid / ask
60¢ / 66¢
NO bid / ask
34¢ / 40¢
24h low 27¢24h high 88¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask70074¢
  • ask10572¢
  • ask4571¢
  • ask1670¢
  • ask3,96069¢
  • ask2,03868¢
  • ask3767¢
  • ask1.0166¢
spread6¢mid 63¢
  • bid1660¢
  • bid4959¢
  • bid7558¢
  • bid4457¢
  • bid3056¢
  • bid5155¢
  • bid8554¢
  • bid7753¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Christopher Nolan has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARDIR-27-CHRI
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.