Oscar for Best Director·closes in 16mo

Will Olivia Wilde win Best Director at the Oscars?

YES means Olivia Wilde

24h volume
0
1,123 lifetime
Open interest
1,123
Spread
0 × 11.2k at the touch
24h range
5 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying96% YES · 4% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Olivia Wilde has won Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99thth Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Aug 17 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARDIR-27-OLI
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 96% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago281bought yes
7d ago468bought yes
8d ago230bought yes
13d ago94bought yes
29d ago50bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.