CINEMATOGRAPHY·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations?

YES means Dune: Part Three

24h volume
0
1,641 lifetime
Open interest
384
−252 over 30d
Spread
1 × 5 at the touch
24h range
24 recent trades
Chance of YES
81%

A YES contract costs 88¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
19%

costs 19¢

YES bid / ask
81¢ / 88¢
NO bid / ask
12¢ / 19¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask20499¢
  • ask69798¢
  • ask20097¢
  • ask14396¢
  • ask395¢
  • ask20089¢
  • ask588¢
spreadmid 85¢
  • bid181¢
  • bid20080¢
  • bid24611¢
  • bid1,15710¢
  • bid13
  • bid150
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dune: Part Three has been nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMCIN-27-DUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 24 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago81¢26bought no
3d ago90¢5bought yes
6d ago89¢33bought yes
10d ago89¢1bought yes
12d ago83¢200bought yes
12d ago81¢200bought yes
12d ago79¢66bought no
12d ago79¢1bought no
12d ago80¢5bought no
14d ago78¢200bought yes
19d ago77¢1bought yes
1mo ago77¢2bought yes
1mo ago76¢1bought yes
2mo ago77¢3bought yes
2mo ago77¢0.16bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.