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CINEMATOGRAPHY·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations?

YES means 1949 / Fatherland

24h volume
0
2,227 lifetime
Open interest
535
−58 over 90d
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
36%

A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
64%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 44¢
NO bid / ask
56¢ / 64¢
Recent buying11% YES · 89% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢60¢volJun 24Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16099¢
  • ask1182¢
  • ask39781¢
  • ask20080¢
  • ask20045¢
  • ask544¢
spread8¢mid 40¢
  • bid20036¢
  • bid4212¢
  • bid2009¢
  • bid3808¢
  • bid167¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If 1949 / Fatherland has been nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 15 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMCIN-27-FAT
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 11% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago36¢90bought no
22d ago36¢48bought no
28d ago13¢0.66bought no
28d ago42¢200bought no
29d ago47¢200bought no
1mo ago48¢10bought yes
1mo ago48¢5bought no
1mo ago47¢200bought no
2mo ago53¢5bought yes
2mo ago48¢56bought no
2mo ago49¢18bought no
2mo ago53¢32bought yes
2mo ago54¢58bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.