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CINEMATOGRAPHY·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Cinematography Oscar nominations?

YES means Obsession

24h volume
0
1,162 lifetime
Open interest
639
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
17%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
83%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 83¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1486¢
  • ask52782¢
  • ask25081¢
  • ask20026¢
  • ask525¢
spread8¢mid 21¢
  • bid20017¢
  • bid464¢
  • bid453¢
  • bid3662¢
  • bid501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Obsession has been nominated for Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 30 · 10:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMCIN-27-OBS
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6d ago18¢12bought no
6d ago17¢107bought no
10d ago26¢15bought yes
24d ago24¢40bought yes
1mo ago24¢1.97bought yes
2mo ago18¢1.2bought no
2mo ago21¢67bought yes
2mo ago21¢33bought yes
2mo ago23¢7.55bought yes
2mo ago23¢66bought yes
2mo ago21¢18bought yes
2mo ago21¢8.75bought yes
2mo ago20¢5bought yes
2mo ago21¢4.24bought yes
2mo ago20¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.