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INTERNATIONAL FEATURE FILM·closes in 16mo

2027 Best International Feature Film Oscar nominations?

YES means Hope

24h volume
0
4,722 lifetime
Open interest
606
Spread
5¢
195 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
20 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 98¢
Recent buying66% YES · 34% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask7098¢
  • ask4360¢
  • ask1,25152¢
  • ask1,00045¢
  • ask5644¢
  • ask343¢
  • ask2008¢
  • ask57¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid1952¢
  • bid3581¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Hope has been nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 10 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMINTERFILM-27-HOP
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 20 trades, 66% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago2¢5.09bought no
5d ago15¢63bought yes
8d ago15¢1bought yes
14d ago14¢9bought yes
27d ago3¢52bought no
27d ago5¢20bought no
27d ago4¢84bought no
27d ago11¢0.17bought yes
1mo ago11¢43bought yes
1mo ago10¢5bought yes
1mo ago11¢3.93bought yes
2mo ago9¢98bought yes
2mo ago9¢6.28bought yes
2mo ago9¢16bought yes
2mo ago8¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.