KXOSCARNOMSCORE·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations?

YES means The Black Ball

24h volume
0
2,901 lifetime
Open interest
701
Spread
28 × 5 at the touch
24h range
4 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 39¢

YES bid / ask
61¢ / 68¢
NO bid / ask
32¢ / 39¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Black Ball has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
May 27 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-BLA
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago69¢200bought yes
26d ago68¢200bought yes
1mo ago62¢2bought no
2mo ago62¢1.26bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.