MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations?

YES means The Mandalorian and Grogu

24h volume: 0; 418 lifetime
Open interest: 413; +99 over 90d
Spread: 8¢; 200 × 5 at the touch
24h range: –; 4 recent trades

Chance of YES

14%

A YES contract costs 21¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

86%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask

13¢ / 21¢

NO bid / ask

79¢ / 87¢

Recent buying95% YES · 5% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask35499¢
ask978¢
ask38575¢
ask24774¢
ask127¢
ask20022¢
ask521¢

spread8¢mid 17¢

bid20013¢
bid513¢
bid4222¢
bid1501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Mandalorian and Grogu has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources

Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences

opened: May 22 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-MAD

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 4 trades, 95% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	14¢	2	bought no
2mo ago	18¢	66	bought yes
2mo ago	15¢	33	bought yes
2mo ago	8¢	3	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.