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MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations?

YES means Project Hail Mary

24h volume
8.25
2,239 lifetime
Open interest
1,417
−121 over 7d
Spread
5¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
52¢ – 52¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
52%

A YES contract costs 57¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
48%

costs 48¢

YES bid / ask
52¢ / 57¢
NO bid / ask
43¢ / 48¢
24h low 52¢24h high 52¢
Recent buying41% YES · 59% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask50985¢
  • ask2583¢
  • ask4482¢
  • ask10581¢
  • ask2980¢
  • ask20059¢
  • ask1558¢
  • ask557¢
spread5¢mid 55¢
  • bid20052¢
  • bid6626¢
  • bid1425¢
  • bid4523¢
  • bid24519¢
  • bid35118¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Project Hail Mary has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-PRO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 41% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago52¢8.25bought no
1d ago52¢1.15bought no
1d ago53¢2.04bought no
3d ago57¢2.04bought yes
3d ago49¢9.47bought no
4d ago50¢30bought no
5d ago57¢6.4bought yes
6d ago53¢87bought no
6d ago53¢1.73bought no
8d ago60¢3.63bought yes
9d ago61¢14bought yes
10d ago60¢16bought yes
10d ago61¢3.19bought yes
11d ago61¢4.78bought yes
14d ago55¢3.41bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.