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MUSIC (ORIGINAL SCORE)·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Music (Original Score) Oscar nominations?

YES means The Social Reckoning

24h volume
0
507 lifetime
Open interest
341
+0 over 30d
Spread
8¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
7 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 14¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 14¢
NO bid / ask
86¢ / 94¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask1385¢
  • ask65982¢
  • ask24281¢
  • ask20015¢
  • ask514¢
spread8¢mid 10¢
  • bid2006¢
  • bid702¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Social Reckoning has been nominated for Best Music (Original Score) at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSCORE-27-SOC
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 7 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago6¢6.57bought no
14d ago30¢2bought yes
1mo ago24¢2bought no
1mo ago23¢37bought no
1mo ago27¢1bought no
2mo ago29¢49bought yes
2mo ago29¢6.57bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.