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Best Original Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth

24h volume
0
11.3k lifetime
Open interest
3,961
+0 over 24h
Spread
5¢
911 × 55 at the touch
24h range
–
36 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask17099¢
  • ask1498¢
  • ask36552¢
  • ask130¢
  • ask2007¢
  • ask556¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid9111¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If The Further Mis-Adventures of Cliff Booth has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
May 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-ADV
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 36 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13d ago1¢49bought no
13d ago6¢200bought no
13d ago24¢0.67bought yes
13d ago6¢32bought yes
13d ago7¢200bought yes
13d ago5¢16bought yes
17d ago1¢134bought no
17d ago5¢0.07bought no
2mo ago11¢7bought no
2mo ago2¢469bought no
2mo ago1¢100bought no
2mo ago1¢819bought no
2mo ago10¢32bought no
2mo ago2¢428bought no
2mo ago9¢100bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.