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KXOSCARNOMSPLAY·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means Club Kid

24h volume
42
2,973 lifetime
Open interest
1,856
Spread
2¢
15 × 200 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
46%−8

A YES contract costs 49¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
54%

costs 53¢

YES bid / ask
47¢ / 49¢
NO bid / ask
51¢ / 53¢
Recent buying75% YES · 25% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask21099¢
  • ask17898¢
  • ask27477¢
  • ask5775¢
  • ask2974¢
  • ask20049¢
spread2¢mid 48¢
  • bid1547¢
  • bid8846¢
  • bid20042¢
  • bid2930¢
  • bid15129¢
  • bid5423¢
  • bid41422¢
  • bid37112¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Club Kid has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
May 19 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-CLU
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago46¢42bought no
5d ago54¢3.58bought yes
5d ago53¢9.13bought yes
5d ago53¢18bought yes
5d ago53¢1.82bought yes
7d ago49¢150bought yes
7d ago49¢9.85bought yes
7d ago44¢200bought yes
7d ago39¢200bought yes
7d ago38¢64bought yes
10d ago36¢40bought yes
10d ago29¢200bought yes
10d ago29¢42bought yes
13d ago31¢25bought yes
13d ago30¢50bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.