Best Original Screenplay·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Original Screenplay Oscar nominations?

YES means Obsession

24h volume
4.62
13.6k lifetime
Open interest
7,164
Spread
4.62 × 5 at the touch
24h range
69¢ – 69¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
69%+5

A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
31%

costs 36¢

YES bid / ask
64¢ / 69¢
NO bid / ask
31¢ / 36¢
24h low 69¢24h high 69¢
Recent buying49% YES · 51% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Obsession has been nominated for Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Jun 16 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMSPLAY-27-OBS
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 49% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19h ago69¢4.62bought yes
1d ago64¢27bought no
1d ago64¢48bought no
1d ago65¢1.47bought no
4d ago66¢1.47bought yes
4d ago60¢1.62bought no
4d ago60¢9.93bought no
4d ago60¢7.21bought no
5d ago67¢5.06bought yes
6d ago56¢6bought no
6d ago65¢200bought no
6d ago66¢15bought no
6d ago70¢15bought yes
6d ago71¢16bought yes
7d ago65¢5.24bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.