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VISUAL EFFECTS·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations?

YES means Avengers: Doomsday

24h volume
0
2,151 lifetime
Open interest
1,114
−57 over 30d
Spread
7¢
200 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
41%

A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
59%

costs 63¢

YES bid / ask
37¢ / 44¢
NO bid / ask
56¢ / 63¢
Recent buying53% YES · 47% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16174¢
  • ask15573¢
  • ask5372¢
  • ask671¢
  • ask5.9547¢
  • ask20046¢
  • ask245¢
  • ask544¢
spread7¢mid 41¢
  • bid20037¢
  • bid7315¢
  • bid10514¢
  • bid25210¢
  • bid1574¢
  • bid1501¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Avengers: Doomsday has been nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMVISUAL-27-AVE
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 53% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago42¢2bought no
1d ago41¢140bought no
1d ago44¢87bought no
15d ago46¢10bought yes
15d ago38¢20bought no
15d ago37¢1.87bought no
18d ago37¢2.23bought no
24d ago44¢39bought yes
24d ago39¢0.02bought no
25d ago44¢55bought yes
25d ago44¢0.02bought yes
29d ago43¢2.23bought yes
1mo ago38¢12bought no
1mo ago44¢5bought yes
1mo ago44¢2.18bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.