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VISUAL EFFECTS·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations?

YES means Narnia

24h volume
0
3,694 lifetime
Open interest
1,486
+0 over 24h
Spread
5¢
338 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
3%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
97%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
2¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 98¢
Recent buying51% YES · 49% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 20, 2:12 PMSep 21, 5:44 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2298¢
  • ask2496¢
  • ask5376¢
  • ask56075¢
  • ask11574¢
  • ask118¢
  • ask2008¢
  • ask57¢
spread5¢mid 4¢
  • bid3382¢
  • bid2321¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Narnia has been nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Apr 21 · 4:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMVISUAL-27-NAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 51% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago3¢61bought no
6d ago7¢4.71bought yes
6d ago6¢10bought yes
14d ago8¢10bought no
14d ago7¢200bought no
14d ago9¢200bought yes
20d ago2¢12bought no
20d ago6¢10bought no
22d ago8¢5bought yes
22d ago9¢48bought yes
1mo ago7¢5bought yes
1mo ago2¢5bought no
2mo ago7¢5bought yes
2mo ago2¢5bought no
2mo ago7¢5bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.