VISUAL EFFECTS·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations?

YES means Project Hail Mary

24h volume
0
7,101 lifetime
Open interest
5,472
Spread
18 × 5 at the touch
24h range
26 recent trades
Chance of YES
91%

A YES contract costs 91¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
9%

costs 16¢

YES bid / ask
84¢ / 91¢
NO bid / ask
/ 16¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask19899¢
  • ask196¢
  • ask90695¢
  • ask31394¢
  • ask20392¢
  • ask591¢
spreadmid 88¢
  • bid1884¢
  • bid20083¢
  • bid10068¢
  • bid10060¢
  • bid10051¢
  • bid67245¢
  • bid70
  • bid91
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Project Hail Mary has been nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMVISUAL-27-PRO
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 26 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago91¢5bought yes
8d ago87¢1.34bought no
8d ago86¢1.04bought no
13d ago90¢3bought yes
25d ago91¢5bought yes
1mo ago90¢1bought yes
1mo ago89¢2bought yes
1mo ago84¢1bought no
1mo ago88¢5bought yes
1mo ago84¢7bought no
1mo ago85¢33bought no
1mo ago86¢20bought no
2mo ago91¢2bought yes
2mo ago90¢11bought yes
2mo ago85¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.