VISUAL EFFECTS·closes in 16mo

2027 Best Visual Effects Oscar nominations?

YES means Spider-Man: Brand New Day

24h volume
14
2,551 lifetime
Open interest
987
+0 over 24h
Spread
2 × 5 at the touch
24h range
26¢ – 26¢
39 recent trades
Chance of YES
26%21

A YES contract costs 33¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
74%

costs 74¢

YES bid / ask
26¢ / 33¢
NO bid / ask
67¢ / 74¢
24h low 26¢24h high 26¢
Recent buying55% YES · 45% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

20¢25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 20, 8:11 AMSep 21, 5:44 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spider-Man: Brand New Day has been nominated for Best Visual Effects at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

opened
Mar 21 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARNOMVISUAL-27-SPI
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 39 trades, 55% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
23h ago26¢14bought no
2d ago47¢154bought yes
4d ago46¢10bought yes
10d ago46¢21bought yes
10d ago42¢100bought yes
14d ago36¢52bought yes
14d ago39¢199bought yes
15d ago36¢7.97bought yes
16d ago35¢100bought yes
19d ago37¢80bought yes
24d ago34¢42bought yes
28d ago30¢0.02bought no
29d ago34¢14bought yes
1mo ago34¢2bought yes
1mo ago34¢2.81bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.