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Oscar for Best Supporting Actor·closes in 16mo

Will Guy Pearce win Best Supporting Actor at the Oscars?

YES means Guy Pearce

24h volume
25
2,657 lifetime
Open interest
2,585
+54 over 7d
Spread
2¢
0 × 546 at the touch
24h range
2¢ – 4¢
21 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 2¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 2¢
NO bid / ask
98¢ / 100¢
24h low 2¢24h high 4¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢volSep 14Sep 20

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00042¢
  • ask438¢
  • ask1,19837¢
  • ask635¢
  • ask1830¢
  • ask2025¢
  • ask1,0003¢
  • ask5462¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Guy Pearce has won Best Supporting Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

    The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 2 · 4:00 AM UTC
    closes
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXOSCARSUPACTO-27-GUY
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 161¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 21 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    16h ago2¢25bought yes
    2d ago2¢25bought yes
    3d ago2¢2bought yes
    3d ago4¢1bought yes
    4d ago4¢1bought yes
    8d ago3¢59bought yes
    8d ago3¢38bought yes
    8d ago5¢17bought yes
    10d ago59¢66bought yes
    10d ago9¢77bought yes
    10d ago7¢31bought yes
    10d ago2¢200bought yes
    10d ago1¢1bought yes
    10d ago97¢66bought yes
    10d ago4¢500bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.