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Oscar for Best Supporting Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Amanda Seyfried win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Amanda Seyfried

24h volume
20
3,178 lifetime
Open interest
2,736
+2,736 over 90d
Spread
5¢
255 × 5 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 25¢
34 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%−6

A YES contract costs 20¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 85¢

YES bid / ask
15¢ / 20¢
NO bid / ask
80¢ / 85¢
24h low 1¢24h high 25¢
Recent buying86% YES · 14% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢volSep 10Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1871¢
  • ask85454¢
  • ask33253¢
  • ask5451¢
  • ask2950¢
  • ask25022¢
  • ask1521¢
  • ask520¢
spread5¢mid 18¢
  • bid25515¢
  • bid8.429¢
  • bid834¢
  • bid2633¢
  • bid7632¢
  • bid981¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Amanda Seyfried has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 9 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-AMA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 116¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 34 trades, 86% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
14h ago17¢15bought no
14h ago16¢5.38bought no
1d ago22¢43bought yes
2d ago9¢1.58bought no
2d ago16¢116bought no
2d ago22¢15bought yes
2d ago14¢5bought yes
4d ago13¢1bought yes
4d ago13¢425bought yes
5d ago18¢15bought no
5d ago17¢250bought no
5d ago24¢20bought yes
5d ago19¢6.08bought no
6d ago24¢1.58bought yes
6d ago24¢3.95bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.