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Oscar for Best Supporting Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Parker Posey win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Parker Posey

24h volume
0
1,946 lifetime
Open interest
1,932
+1,100 over 30d
Spread
5¢
1.05 × 1,633 at the touch
24h range
6¢ – 6¢
18 recent trades
Chance of YES
6%

A YES contract costs 6¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
94%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 6¢
NO bid / ask
94¢ / 99¢
24h low 6¢24h high 6¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢10¢20¢volAug 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Parker Posey has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 11 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-PAR
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 18 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago6¢200bought yes
19d ago6¢250bought yes
21d ago6¢250bought yes
21d ago6¢200bought yes
21d ago6¢200bought yes
1mo ago6¢200bought yes
1mo ago6¢100bought yes
1mo ago6¢100bought yes
1mo ago6¢69bought yes
2mo ago6¢1bought yes
2mo ago5¢3bought no
2mo ago5¢0.95bought no
2mo ago5¢1bought no
2mo ago5¢1bought yes
2mo ago5¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.