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Oscar for Best Supporting Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Sandra Hüller win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Sandra Hüller

24h volume
0
2,930 lifetime
Open interest
2,424
Spread
4¢
1.55 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
31 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
7¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 93¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,09761¢
  • ask2,25657¢
  • ask75555¢
  • ask1,32954¢
  • ask50040¢
  • ask3039¢
  • ask1,38312¢
  • ask511¢
spread4¢mid 9¢
  • bid1.557¢
  • bid176¢
  • bid2535¢
  • bid4.564¢
  • bid1.223¢
  • bid3282¢
  • bid4621¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sandra Hüller has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 11 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-SAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 116¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 31 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago12¢1.24bought yes
5d ago12¢8.76bought yes
13d ago15¢58bought yes
1mo ago12¢0.31bought yes
2mo ago13¢21bought yes
2mo ago12¢5bought yes
2mo ago13¢47bought yes
2mo ago5¢100bought yes
2mo ago9¢1bought yes
2mo ago10¢1bought yes
2mo ago8¢1bought yes
2mo ago5¢200bought yes
2mo ago6¢125bought yes
2mo ago13¢13bought yes
2mo ago7¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.