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Oscar for Best Supporting Actress·closes in 16mo

Will Zendaya win Best Supporting Actress at the Oscars?

YES means Zendaya

24h volume
0
2,100 lifetime
Open interest
1,658
+1,628 over 90d
Spread
1¢
1 × 759 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 5¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
NO bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volJul 6Sep 17

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5646¢
  • ask6143¢
  • ask3238¢
  • ask1,07237¢
  • ask1027¢
  • ask1324¢
  • ask2508¢
  • ask7595¢
spread1¢mid 5¢
  • bid14¢
  • bid4551¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Zendaya has won Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 11 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARSUPACTR-27-ZEN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 116¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago5¢19bought yes
5d ago5¢38bought yes
6d ago5¢80bought yes
6d ago5¢14bought yes
6d ago5¢13bought yes
8d ago5¢1.82bought yes
8d ago5¢173bought yes
8d ago5¢200bought yes
11d ago5¢19bought yes
14d ago5¢1bought yes
25d ago8¢13bought yes
29d ago8¢10bought yes
1mo ago5¢1.87bought yes
1mo ago5¢2bought yes
1mo ago5¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.