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Oscar Winner: Best Makeup and Hairstyling·closes in 16mo

Will Dune: Part Three win Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the Oscars?

YES means Dune: Part Three

24h volume
0
6,544 lifetime
Open interest
4,818
+4,818 over 90d
Spread
8¢
12 × 3.26 at the touch
24h range
23¢ – 62¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
29%

A YES contract costs 29¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
71%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 29¢
NO bid / ask
71¢ / 79¢
24h low 23¢24h high 62¢
Recent buying25% YES · 75% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
25¢50¢75¢volAug 7Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5399¢
  • ask1775¢
  • ask4,00165¢
  • ask55064¢
  • ask13963¢
  • ask9862¢
  • ask530¢
  • ask3.2629¢
spread8¢mid 25¢
  • bid1221¢
  • bid3820¢
  • bid1819¢
  • bid10018¢
  • bid2917¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid2614¢
  • bid8313¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Dune: Part Three has won Best Makeup and Hairstyling at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.

The 99th Academy Awards are expected to be held in March 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 5 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXOSCARVIS-27-DUN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 87¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 25% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago29¢13bought no
2d ago30¢12bought no
2d ago29¢12bought no
2d ago29¢13bought no
2d ago30¢14bought no
3d ago29¢14bought no
3d ago29¢14bought no
3d ago28¢14bought no
3d ago29¢9bought no
3d ago29¢8bought no
3d ago30¢8bought no
3d ago29¢8bought no
3d ago30¢8bought no
5d ago24¢0.14bought no
5d ago23¢4.86bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.