Pennsylvania Senate 2028: who will run?·closes in 17mo

Will Susan Wild announce a run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028?

YES means Susan Wild

24h volume: 0; 29 lifetime
Open interest: 29; +0 over 30d
Spread: 8¢; 5 × 200 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

17%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

83%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask

17¢ / 25¢

NO bid / ask

75¢ / 83¢

Recent buying0% YES · 100% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask5099¢
ask42378¢
ask20077¢
ask5476¢
ask20025¢

spread8¢mid 21¢

bid517¢
bid20016¢
bid374¢
bid473¢
bid3672¢
bid501¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Susan Wild has announced that they will run for the Class 3 United States Senate seat from Pennsylvania in 2028 after Issuance and before Feb 16, 2028, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. Announcing a campaign to contest this seat as an independent, or for any party's nomination, resolves YES. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 19 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: Feb 16, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Feb 16, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXPASENRUN-28-28FEB16-SWIL

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 0% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
1mo ago	17¢	29	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.