will person perform at event?·closes in 16mo

Will Billie Eilish perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?

YES means Billie Eilish

24h volume
0
1,168 lifetime
Open interest
1,164
+0 over 24h
Spread
33¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
23 recent trades
Chance of YES
56%

A YES contract costs 86¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
44%

costs 47¢

YES bid / ask
53¢ / 86¢
NO bid / ask
14¢ / 47¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

50¢60¢70¢80¢90¢volSep 20, 8:05 AMSep 21, 7:13 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask18289¢
  • ask587¢
  • ask586¢
spread33¢mid 70¢
  • bid553¢
  • bid18552¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Billie Eilish performs (or it is announced that they will perform) at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional clarification(s): Billie Eilish appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Billie Eilish actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Billie Eilish's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Billie Eilish’s anticipated performance at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027. If an announced Billie Eilish later withdraws from Lollapalooza Chicago 2027, this will not affect the resolution of the Contract. The following constitutes a performance and IS encompassed by the Payout Criterion: A full solo performance of one or more songs. A collaborative or joint performance in which Billie Eilish is physically present and actively contributes musically. A guest appearance during another artist's set in which Billie Eilish performs at least one full verse, chorus, or musical segment. A medley in which Billie Eilish is present and actively performing, even if Billie Eilish's portion is partial. A performance in which Billie Eilish performs entirely via an officially produced and sanctioned satellite feed, video link, or holographic display that is presented as part of the official live event program, provided that the performance is real-time or was produced specifically for and presented exclusively within Lollapalooza Chicago 2027. A DJ set in which Billie Eilish is the performing DJ operating equipment live, regardless of whether Billie Eilish sings. A pre-recorded performance segment presented as part of the official event program, provided it is attributed to Billie Eilish by the official event organizers and presented as a performance (rather than a tribute, retrospective, or archival clip). A performance that begins within the official event timeframe but extends beyond it due to scheduling overrun, provided the performance commenced during the official timeframe. A performance at a rescheduled version of Lollapalooza Chicago 2027 where the reschedule occurs within one year of the original event date, pursuant to the postponement provisions below.

opened
Aug 3 · 11:35 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORM-27-BIL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 23 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago56¢1bought no
8d ago60¢100bought yes
8d ago84¢45bought yes
10d ago80¢138bought yes
10d ago57¢100bought yes
10d ago57¢50bought yes
11d ago83¢1.5bought yes
11d ago53¢81bought yes
11d ago84¢64bought yes
11d ago92¢22bought yes
11d ago89¢54bought yes
11d ago88¢35bought yes
12d ago53¢1bought yes
13d ago79¢56bought yes
13d ago53¢100bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.