will person perform at event?·closes in 16mo

Will Sam Smith perform at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027?

YES means Sam Smith

24h volume
0
67 lifetime
Open interest
67
Spread
35 × 5 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 98¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 98¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3570¢
  • ask3169¢
  • ask10056¢
  • ask8051¢
  • ask17246¢
  • ask345¢
  • ask50
  • ask5
spreadmid
  • bid35
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sam Smith performs (or it is announced that they will perform) at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027 during the official event timeframe, then the market resolves to Yes.

Additional clarification(s): Sam Smith appears on stage or in the official broadcast or stream; AND Sam Smith actively and perceptibly contributes to a musical performance by singing (including audible lead or backing vocals), rapping, playing a musical instrument, DJ-ing, or conducting a live band; AND Is either a scheduled performer, a guest appearance during another artist's set, or is formally announced as a performer by official event organizers or Sam Smith's official representatives. Note: This Contract may resolve on the announcement of Sam Smith’s anticipated performance at Lollapalooza Chicago 2027. If an announced Sam Smith later withdraws from Lollapalooza Chicago 2027, this will not affect the resolution of the Contract. The following constitutes a performance and IS encompassed by the Payout Criterion: A full solo performance of one or more songs. A collaborative or joint performance in which Sam Smith is physically present and actively contributes musically. A guest appearance during another artist's set in which Sam Smith performs at least one full verse, chorus, or musical segment. A medley in which Sam Smith is present and actively performing, even if Sam Smith's portion is partial. A performance in which Sam Smith performs entirely via an officially produced and sanctioned satellite feed, video link, or holographic display that is presented as part of the official live event program, provided that the performance is real-time or was produced specifically for and presented exclusively within Lollapalooza Chicago 2027. A DJ set in which Sam Smith is the performing DJ operating equipment live, regardless of whether Sam Smith sings. A pre-recorded performance segment presented as part of the official event program, provided it is attributed to Sam Smith by the official event organizers and presented as a performance (rather than a tribute, retrospective, or archival clip). A performance that begins within the official event timeframe but extends beyond it due to scheduling overrun, provided the performance commenced during the official timeframe. A performance at a rescheduled version of Lollapalooza Chicago 2027 where the reschedule occurs within one year of the original event date, pursuant to the postponement provisions below.

opened
Aug 3 · 11:35 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORM-27-SAM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago35bought yes
1mo ago31bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.