Will Ana de Armas perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?
YES means Ana de Armas
- 24h volume
- 0
- 747 lifetime
- Open interest
- 363
- Spread
- 9¢
- 100 × 100 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 7 recent trades
A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask17556¢
- ask4755¢
- ask15054¢
- ask8.5533¢
- ask9.430¢
- ask125¢
- ask115¢
- ask10011¢
- bid1002¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Ana de Armas performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Ana de Armas satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Ana de Armas is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Ana de Armas appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ana de Armas was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Ana de Armas is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Ana de Armas being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.
- opened
- Feb 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLE007-ANA
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 7 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6d ago | 3¢ | 44 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 18 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 10¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 11¢ | 81 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 10¢ | 94 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.