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WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BOND·closes in 52mo

Will Emma Mackey perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

YES means Emma Mackey

24h volume
0
266 lifetime
Open interest
147
Spread
9¢
0 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
9%

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
91%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 100¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask76791¢
  • ask125¢
  • ask115¢
  • ask1009¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Emma Mackey performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

    For the purposes of this Contract, Emma Mackey satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Emma Mackey is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Emma Mackey appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Emma Mackey was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Emma Mackey is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Emma Mackey being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Feb 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXPERFORMROLE007-EMM
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Outcomes in this event settle independently.

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.