Will Ralph Fiennes perform as M in the next James Bond film?
YES means Ralph Fiennes
- 24h volume
- 0
- 114 lifetime
- Open interest
- 67
- Spread
- 9¢
- 100 × 100 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 39¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 70¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask13271¢
- ask17670¢
- ask10039¢
- bid10030¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Ralph Fiennes performs/ is announced as M in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Ralph Fiennes satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Ralph Fiennes is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform M in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Ralph Fiennes appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as M in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Ralph Fiennes was officially announced in M, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for M (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Ralph Fiennes is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Ralph Fiennes being announced or performing in M, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for M.
- opened
- Jan 8 · 11:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLE007-M-RAL
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.