WHO WILL BE CHARACTER IN JAMES BOND·closes in 52mo

Will Sydney Sweeney perform as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film?

YES means Sydney Sweeney

24h volume
0
3,971 lifetime
Open interest
1,605
Spread
100 × 40 at the touch
24h range
25 recent trades
Chance of YES
19%

A YES contract costs 25¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
81%

costs 81¢

YES bid / ask
19¢ / 25¢
NO bid / ask
75¢ / 81¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask58688¢
  • ask26987¢
  • ask32475¢
  • ask33674¢
  • ask82963¢
  • ask4853¢
  • ask10028¢
  • ask4025¢
spreadmid 22¢
  • bid10019¢
  • bid0.12
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Sydney Sweeney performs/ is announced as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, then the market resolves to Yes.

For the purposes of this Contract, Sydney Sweeney satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Sydney Sweeney is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in the next James Bond film, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Sydney Sweeney appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” in any official performance, showing, or release of the next James Bond film. Additional clarification(s): If the next James Bond film is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Sydney Sweeney was officially announced in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl” (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Sydney Sweeney is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) the next James Bond film is cancelled or completes its run without Sydney Sweeney being announced or performing in a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for a principal female character opposite James Bond referred to by major entertainment media as a “Bond girl”.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 14 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2031 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 2, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC
ticker
KXPERFORMROLE007-SYD
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 25 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago22¢1bought no
1d ago19¢5.38bought no
1d ago22¢0.79bought no
10d ago24¢0.79bought yes
22d ago22¢1bought no
23d ago23¢10bought yes
23d ago20¢120bought no
24d ago19¢1bought no
24d ago19¢39bought no
1mo ago19¢33bought no
1mo ago19¢12bought no
1mo ago23¢1bought yes
1mo ago23¢15bought no
1mo ago23¢3bought yes
1mo ago22¢25bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.