Will Caleb McLaughlin perform as Miles Morales in The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales?
YES means Caleb McLaughlin
- 24h volume
- 7.53
- 3,687 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,673
- Spread
- 67¢
- 121 × 5 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 69¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 98¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask8692¢
- ask2291¢
- ask2.3585¢
- ask1284¢
- ask8.6280¢
- ask4371¢
- ask570¢
- ask569¢
- bid1212¢
- bid971¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Caleb McLaughlin performs/ is announced as Miles Morales in The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales, then the market resolves to Yes.
For the purposes of this Contract, Caleb McLaughlin satisfies the Payout Criterion if either: Official Announcement: Caleb McLaughlin is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Miles Morales in The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR Actual Performance: Caleb McLaughlin appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Miles Morales in any official performance, showing, or release of The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales. Additional clarification(s): If The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Caleb McLaughlin was officially announced in Miles Morales, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” If multiple people are announced for Miles Morales (e.g., alternating cast, dual casting), and Caleb McLaughlin is among them, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.” b The Contract may resolve to “No” prior to the Expiration Date if: (a) The first Marvel Studios live-action film in the Marvel Cinematic Universe to feature Miles Morales is cancelled or completes its run without Caleb McLaughlin being announced or performing in Miles Morales, or (b) another person is officially announced as the sole exclusive performer for Miles Morales.
- opened
- Jan 13 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Dec 30, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC
- ticker
- KXPERFORMROLEMILESMORALES-CAL
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 75% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 2¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 1h ago | 1¢ | 2.53 | bought no |
| 6d ago | 17¢ | 0.98 | bought no |
| 7d ago | 24¢ | 1.81 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 17¢ | 3.62 | bought no |
| 13d ago | 17¢ | 62 | bought no |
| 15d ago | 17¢ | 1.04 | bought no |
| 21d ago | 17¢ | 26 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 24¢ | 0.98 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 22¢ | 8.62 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 18¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 25¢ | 19 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 24¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 15¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 2mo ago | 18¢ | 5 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.