Philippines presidential election·closes in 33mo

Who will win the next Philippine presidential election?

YES means Sara Duterte

24h volume: 0; 2,626 lifetime
Open interest: 1,807; −19 over 90d
Spread: 7¢; 3.31 × 5 at the touch
24h range: 58¢ – 66¢

Chance of YES

66%

A YES contract costs 65¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

34%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask

58¢ / 65¢

NO bid / ask

35¢ / 42¢

24h low 58¢24h high 66¢

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the winner of the next Philippine presidential election is Sara Duterte, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources

Commission on Elections

opened: Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes: May 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: May 31, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXPHILIPPINESPRES-28-SDUT

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 91¢).

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.